OBI – OKAWANKWASO TICKET HAS 70% CHANCE OF WINNING EX SGF ASSESSES ATIKU, AMAECHI, TINUBU AND…. – Ty
Former SGF Exposes the 2027 Masterplan: Why Peter Obi, Kwankwaso, and Tinubu are Fighting a Written Script
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The Unspoken Script of 2027: How Nigeria’s Political Chessboard Was Arranged Before the First Ballot Was Cast
Imagine a high-stakes football match where the stadium lights are bright, the grass is neatly trimmed, the referee is dressed in crisp uniform, and thousands of passionate fans are screaming from the stands, blowing whistles and waving their club flags. The players run onto the pitch with high energy, sweat drippin’ down their faces as they tackle, pass, and shoot at goal. To the untrained eye of the casual spectator sitting in the middle of the crowd, it looks like a fiercely contested battle where victory will be decided by pure skill, tactics, and stamina.
But what if the outcome of that match was already decided three whole years before the referee ever blew his whistle to start the game? What if the scoreboard in the control room was already programmed with the final result, the victory speech already printed, and the trophy already engraved in a dark, air-conditioned room miles away from the stadium?
This is not a scene from a Hollywood political thriller. This is the exact, chilling reality painted by a man who once sat at the very heart of power in Nigeria. Former Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Babachir Lawal, has blown the whistle on the entire political architecture of the nation, making revelations that have left political analysts, civil society groups, and ordinary citizens completely dumbfounded. In a explosive assessment of Nigeria’s current political landscape ahead of the 2027 general elections, the former high-ranking official declared that the ruling party under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has crossed every imaginable boundary of democratic governance—jumping over the yellow caution lights, tearing through the red danger signals, and driving the car of state straight over the cliff into an abyss of political engineering.
How exactly did the political class manage to wrap their hands so tightly around the throat of the democratic process that a top insider can boldly declare the 2027 election result as already written? What secrets lie inside the closed-door strategic sessions where opposition governors are lured into the ruling fold, and why is the voice of the ordinary voter gradually being reduced to a mere whisper in the dark? To answer these fundamental questions, one must dive deep into the mind of a political veteran who knows the playbook inside out because he used to help write it.
To truly understand the weight of Babachir Lawal’s assertions, one must first look at his blunt evaluation of the current state of Nigerian democracy. According to him, the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) administration has abandoned even the pretense of following democratic norms, judicial respect, or constitutional guardrails. In his own words, the government has crossed the first red line, crossed the second red line, and completely obliterated the stop signs. “It is like a car driving at high speed toward a massive cliff,” he observed during his assessment. “There is a stop sign right there, but the driver thinks he can just crash through it. There are no more warnings—no yellow, no green, no red. They have jumped right over the cliff.”
This metaphor paints a terrifying picture for a nation that fought so hard to transition from military dictatorship to civilian rule in 1999. For decades, the judiciary was considered the last hope of the common man, the yellow light that warned power-hungry politicians to slow down and obey the rule of law. But when the guardrails of the judiciary are weakened, and political parties begin to treat constitutional red lines as mere suggestions, the very foundation of popular representation begins to crumble.
When asked to evaluate the individual presidential contenders and their realistic chances against President Tinubu in 2027, Lawal did not pull any punches. His assessment was a mix of personal relationships, ruthless political realism, and surprising preferences that have sent shockwaves across party lines. On the issue of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), his response was swift, cold, and definitive: Atiku will lose, and he actively prays that he loses. Lawal revealed that having worked closely with Atiku in the past, he knows his political antecedents and character well enough to conclude that he cannot support his presidential ambition. “If it is between Bola Tinubu and Atiku any day, I will choose Tinubu,” he admitted, highlighting the deep-seated rivalries that continue to fracture the traditional political establishment in Northern Nigeria.
However, when the conversation turned to the candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP), Adewole Adebayo, Lawal’s tone shifted dramatically from cynical criticism to glowing praise. Describing Adebayo as a youthful, highly intelligent, and articulate figure who understands the harsh economic reality facing ordinary Nigerians, Lawal declared him his top personal choice for the presidency if he had his absolute way. “On the basis of his speech, the way he talks, he will make an excellent president,” he stated. “He is youthful, he understands the economy, and he understands what society is going through. If I had my way, that boy would be number one on my scale with 100%.”
Yet, as every seasoned political observer in Nigeria knows, personal admiration for a candidate’s intellect does not automatically translate into election victory in a country where political structures, financial firepower, and grassroots mobilization reign supreme. Lawal acknowledged this reality by offering a compelling alliance scenario that could seriously challenge the status quo: a joint ticket featuring Peter Obi of the Labour Party and Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).
Evaluating the potential of a Obi-Kwankwaso partnership, the former SGF gave the ticket a massive 70% chance of success, describing it as the most formidable opposition combination capable of rescuing the country from its current economic woes. “Peter Obi is my friend indeed,” Lawal revealed. “Peter Obi will try to be fair to everybody. He will try to do that which is right for the people. And with the solid backing of Kwankwaso, they will form a great team that will do far better than this present government.” He emphasized that while individual tickets might face structural hurdles, pairing Obi’s immense popularity among the youth and urban voters with Kwankwaso’s legendary political machinery in Kano and the broader Northwest creates a political force that cannot be easily dismissed by any analyst.
Now, pause for a moment and reflect on this critical choice facing the nation: What would you have done in this situation if you were tasked with picking a leader—would you vote for an articulate, youthful leader with fresh economic ideas, or align with a battle-tested coalition ticket like Obi and Kwankwaso?
While discussing other major political actors, Lawal paid tribute to human rights activist and former presidential candidate Omoyele Sowore, classifying him in the mold of legendary freedom fighters like Ghana’s former leaders. He noted that if not for fiercely courageous individuals like Sowore constantly putting the government on its toes, the state would easily trample upon the fundamental liberties of every citizen. He also touched upon former Cross River State Governor Donald Duke, describing him as a decent, handsome, and administrative talent whose stellar performance as governor could translate well on the national stage if given the opportunity.
Turning his lens toward former Rivers State Governor and Minister of Transportation, Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi, Lawal offered a nuanced and complex assessment. While describing Amaechi as an energetic, highly religious, and capable leader who possesses a positive human disposition, Lawal expressed deep disappointment over his political choices, particularly his decision to align with political forces that Lawal considers detrimental to his integrity. “Amaechi is a man of energy, a version of Nyesom Wike but better polished,” Lawal analyzed. “However, his excessive political ambition led him to make miscalculations. He damaged his political career by hoping for a short four-year window to take power. Nevertheless, he remains an asset that Nigeria should invest in for the future.”
Yet, all these discussions about candidate ratings, political alliances, and personal integrity pale in comparison to the central, dark premise that Lawal laid bare regarding the mechanics of the upcoming 2027 presidential election. When asked directly if it is possible to defeat President Bola Ahmed Tinubu at the polls, the former SGF paused, acknowledging first the “God factor”—that with God all things are possible. But when looking at the cold, hard mechanics of Nigerian electoral politics, his analysis turned deeply unsettling.
Lawal argued that President Tinubu, knowing his physical limitations and health constraints, is fully aware that engaging in a grueling, nationwide campaign across all 36 states might be too physically demanding. Therefore, instead of relying solely on physical campaign rallies to win the hearts and minds of voters, the ruling party has adopted a far more effective, structural strategy to guarantee victory long before election day arrives.
“The result for the 2027 election is already written,” Babachir Lawal dropped the bombshell, leaving the interviewer visibly shaken. “The script was written three years ago. All that is required now is for the formal processes to exhaust themselves. It is not just a theoretical script; the outcome and the methodology are already fully in place.”
According to Lawal’s insider account, the primary strategy used by the ruling administration to lock down the 2027 election involved the systematic systematically purchasing and neutralizing of opposition governors across the country. By bringing state governors from opposition parties into the ruling fold or securing their absolute loyalty, the presidency successfully achieved two devastating objectives simultaneously.
First, it effectively cut off the opposition’s access to vital funding. In Nigerian politics, state governors are the financial lungs and operational powerhouses of political parties. Without the backing of state governors, opposition presidential candidates are left starved of the massive financial resources required to build structures, hire agents, run media campaigns, and compete against the incumbent apparatus.
Second, it created a scenario where state governors are forced to fight for their own survival. Having enjoyed the support, protection, and financial backing of the federal government, these governors know that their political lives—and their freedom from anti-corruption agencies—depend entirely on delivering their respective states to the incumbent president. “They will work tirelessly,” Lawal explained. “They will do exactly what was done in previous elections. Whether it is Adamawa, Borno, Yobi, Gombe, Taraba, Kaduna, or Kano—all those heavy-voting states in the North—they will deliver them to the ruling party by hook or by crook. Mostly by crook.”
The picture Lawal draws of election day itself is heartbreakingly cynical. He predicts that on election day in 2027, citizens will dutifully dress up, walk to their local polling units, queue under the scorching sun, and cast their ballots into plastic boxes, believing they are participating in a sacred democratic ritual. Meanwhile, behind the scenes, the electoral management body will carry out magical maneuvers, eventually reading out results that were prepared and handed over to them long before the first vote was cast.
What makes this scenario even more tragic is Lawal’s prediction of how the Nigerian public and the political opposition will react after the announcement of such engineered results. He believes the deep sense of exhaustion, economic distress, and fear will prevent any sustained mass uprising or revolutionary pushback from the populace.
“Every Nigerian will just remain in his house,” Lawal observed with heavy sadness. “No one wants trouble. The defeated presidential candidates will take their grievances to the courts—their courts. Senior Advocates of Nigeria (SANs) will collect billions of Naira in legal fees from these candidates, impoverishing them further, and then the courts will affirm the written result. That will be the end of the matter.”
He likened the psychological state of the Nigerian electorate to a well-known military concept: “In the military, we say that with just one live bullet remaining in your rifle, you can force 1,000 unarmed people to surrender because nobody wants to be the one person who takes that single fatal bullet. So every Nigerian will just go home and sleep. Some won’t even bother to come out on election day. A few professional activists will organize small protests, collect money from donors, shout for a few weeks, and then gradually fizzle out as everyone prepares for another four years of hardship.”
Adding salt to the wound, Lawal pointed out that the political opposition lacks the moral authority to complain about electoral rigging at the national level because almost all the opposition political parties conducted deeply flawed, manipulated, and non-transparent primary elections within their own ranks. “Look at the PDP, SDP, LP, and others—they just wrote down names during their primaries. Everyone is fighting inside their own party because nobody conducted a genuinely free and fair primary. So what moral right do they have to cry foul when the ruling party out-rigs them at the general election?”
As if the prospect of a pre-determined 2027 election were not shocking enough, Lawal touched upon an even darker possibility that has been whispering through the corridors of power in Abuja: the rumor of a potential tenure elongation or a third-term agenda. When asked if he fears President Tinubu might pursue a constitutional amendment to extend his stay in office beyond two terms, Lawal did not dismiss the idea as impossible fantasy. Instead, he asserted that if health and lifespan permit, the political machinery surrounding the presidency would not hesitate to attempt it. “If God gives him the long life to do it, he will,” Lawal warned. “A planned assembly of political actors will back it up, subject only to his physical health.”
This chilling revelation brings us back to the central mystery we set out to explore at the beginning of this investigation: Is Nigerian democracy truly dead, or is it merely undergoing a severe, painful test of resilience at the hands of a ruthless political elite?
The ultimate tragedy of a written election script is not just that it robs citizens of their constitutional right to choose their leaders; it is that it kills hope. When people come to believe that their votes do not count, that state institutions are compromised, and that the outcome of elections is decided in secret conclaves long before polling day, they turn away from civic engagement entirely. They surrender their collective future to the very forces that oppress them.
Yet, history teaches us that no political script written by human hands is completely immune to the unpredictable forces of nature, divine intervention, and the spontaneous rising of an awakened populace. While political strategists may calculate their moves down to the last detail, buying up governors and neutralizing opposition structures, they can never fully control the silent rage of millions of ordinary citizens who go to bed hungry every night, whose children are priced out of schools, and whose communities face constant security threats.
Let’s pause and look at the bigger picture before we draw the curtain on this sobering reality: Do you believe that an awakened, united Nigerian electorate can still shatter this written political script in 2027, or has the system become completely untouchable?
The warnings sounded by Babachir Lawal should serve as a massive, jarring wake-up call for every Nigerian citizen, civil society organization, and opposition figure who still dreams of a prosperous, democratic nation. Sitting at home in surrender is precisely what the authors of the secret script are counting on. The belief that “nothing will change” is the single most powerful weapon in the hands of those who wish to maintain an oppressive status quo.
The road to 2027 is paved with immense challenges, political betrayals, and structural hurdles that seem almost impossible to overcome. The red lights may have been crossed, the guardrails may have been dismantled, and the car of state may be speeding toward the edge of the cliff. But the final chapter of Nigeria’s story has not yet been printed. As long as millions of citizens retain their voice, demand institutional accountability, and refuse to accept pre-packaged outcomes as their destiny, the ultimate power still belongs to the people, not the architects of secret scripts.
If you believe that the collective power of Nigerian citizens is stronger than any pre-written political script, share this article immediately across all your social media platforms to wake up our people before 2027!
